Our model makes Viborg FF the slight favourite here, giving the away win a 43.2% probability, higher than both Horsens at 30.7% and the draw at 26.1%. Viborg sit above Horsens in the current Superliga table, with 7 points from 4 games in 5th place, while Horsens are 6th with 4 points from 4 matches, which shows Viborg have been more consistent so far. Recent head‑to‑head meetings also lean Viborg’s way, with Viborg winning away in Horsens 1-0 in September 2025 and dominating several recent clashes by keeping clean sheets. Horsens’ home form has been patchy, with just one win, one draw and three losses in their last five home league games, while Viborg have picked up solid results on the road with two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five away matches. This mix of slightly better form, a positive H2H trend, and the model’s 43.2% edge on the away win supports backing Viborg to take all three points, though the gap to other outcomes means it still remains a competitive fixture.

Our model assigns Both Teams to Score Yes a 54.7% probability, making it the preferred outcome over No at 45.3%. Both sides have shown a tendency to score and concede in recent league games: Horsens have 4 goals scored and 6 conceded after 4 rounds, while Viborg have 3 scored and 2 conceded over the same span. In their last five Superliga meetings, three matches featured goals from both teams, including tight 2-1 and 1-1 scorelines that underline how balanced and open this fixture can be. Horsens’ last five home games and Viborg’s last five away matches show a mix of clean sheets and games with multiple goals, suggesting neither defence is watertight, especially once the game opens up. Combining this with the model’s 54.7% edge on BTTS Yes, we expect both sides to find the net at Hybel Arena Horsens.

Our model slightly favours a higher‑scoring match, giving Over 2.5 goals a 50.3% probability versus 49.7% for Under 2.5, so the edge is narrow but still on the Over. Recent league numbers support the idea of a game with chances: Horsens have seen 10 total goals across their first 4 Superliga matches (2.5 per game on average), while Viborg’s games, though tighter at 5 goals in 4 matches, often open up in the second half. In the last five head‑to‑head meetings, several games cleared this line with 2-1 and 2-0 scorelines, and only a few ended goalless or with a single goal. With Viborg slight favourites for the win, BTTS Yes rated at 54.7%, and both teams mixing solid attacking phases with defensive lapses, a 2-1 or 2-2 type of scoreline looks quite realistic, which aligns well with backing Over 2.5 at the model’s 50.3% edge.