EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Paris Saint Germain a 48% probability to win away against Rennes, with the draw at 22% and a Rennes win at 30%.
The model estimates a 64% probability of more than 2.5 goals in Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain.
The model puts the probability that both Rennes and Paris Saint Germain score at 63%.
Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:45.
PSG vs Rennes Preview
Welcome to Extratips for this Ligue 1 clash in Paris. PSG host Rennes on 23 August 2026 at the Parc des Princes, and the early numbers lean clearly toward the home side. Our model backs PSG to control the game, with goals likely at both ends and a strong chance of a lively scoreline.
The top market prices also tell the story: Home at 1.4200, BTTS Yes at 1.5700, and Over 2.5 at 1.0000. PSG's home power makes them the team to beat, but Rennes have enough bite to keep the contest honest. The model gives Home 62.3%, BTTS Yes 58.1%, and Over 2.5 62.9%.
PSG should carry the stronger motivation if they want an early title push, while Rennes will look to frustrate and strike on the break. The key battle is whether Rennes can stay compact without inviting too much pressure. If PSG settle fast, the match can turn into a fast, open night in Paris.
Likely path: PSG win, both teams score, and the goal line goes over.
Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Rennes a 30% win probability, Paris Saint Germain 48%, and the draw 22%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 63%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Over 2.5 at 64%, indicating a higher-scoring match is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 96
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Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Lost1x21.4200
Paris Saint Germain to win
The model gives Home a 62.3% probability, and PSG are clear favourites at Parc des Princes. Their strong home edge, the best odds in the market, and the usual gap in squad depth make the home win the most logical call. Rennes can compete, but the recent balance of form and head-to-head edge still leans toward PSG.
WonBoth Teams To Score1.5700
Both teams to score - Yes
The model gives Yes a 58.1% probability, so this is the top BTTS outcome. PSG usually create plenty at home, but Rennes also have enough threat to get on the board. Recent match patterns and the attacking shape of both sides support goals at both ends.
WonOver/Under1.0000
Over 2.5 goals
The model gives Over 2.5 a 62.9% probability, which makes it the preferred total-goals pick. PSG home games often open up, and Rennes are capable of adding to a lively scoreline. The head-to-head trend and the home side's attacking strength point to a match with at least three goals.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
2.23
Potential Winnings
$61.47
Paris Saint Germain to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams to score - Yes
Both Teams To Score / Yes
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
30%
Home
Fair odd 3.28
22%
Draw
Fair odd 4.56
48%
Away
Fair odd 2.10
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 84%
Under 16%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 64%
Under 36%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 41%
Under 59%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 63%
No 37%
First Half Winner
27%
Home
33%
Draw
40%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
17%
4%
5%
Draw
9%
11%
13%
Away
3%
5%
33%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
3.9
6.9
6.4
4.0
1
5.5
9.6
9.7
5.5
2
3.8
7.3
6.3
4.1
3
2.1
3.6
3.0
1.8
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 5:2 | 7 | WDW | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3:0 | 6 | WW | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 3:0 | 4 | WD | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 3:1 | 4 | DW | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 5:4 | 4 | WD | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2:1 | 4 | WD | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6:4 | 3 | LW | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4:2 | 3 | LW | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | WL | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 2:5 | 3 | WL | |
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 | DD | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 | DD | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4:5 | 1 | LD | |
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 1 | LD | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 1 | DL | |
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 2:5 | 1 | LDL | |
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0:3 | 1 | LD | |
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3:8 | 0 | LL |
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