EU
At a glance
The statistical model gives Brest a 40% probability to beat Toulouse, with the draw at 28% and a Toulouse win at 32%.
The model estimates a 51% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Brest vs Toulouse.
The model puts the probability that both Brest and Toulouse score at 54%.
Brest vs Toulouse kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:45.
Brest vs Toulouse Prediction
Welcome to Extratips for this Ligue 1 clash in Brest. Brest host Toulouse at Stade Francis-Le Blé on 29 August 2026, and the model expects a tight battle. Our numbers lean slightly toward the home side, but the margins are narrow.
The key call is Brest to edge it, with both teams to score also in play. The goal line looks careful, not wild, as Under 2.5 has the smallest lean. That fits a match where one big moment could decide everything.
Brest will want to use home energy and start fast. Toulouse should stay compact and look for breaks. It feels like a game with pressure, duels, and few easy chances. If Brest keep their shape, they can nick it. If Toulouse score first, the picture changes fast.
Conclusion: Brest have the slight edge, but this looks like a close Ligue 1 contest.
Brest vs Toulouse Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Brest a 40% win probability, Toulouse 32%, and the draw 28%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'Yes' at 54%, suggesting both teams are expected to score.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 51%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 69
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Brest vs Toulouse: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Lost1x2
Brest to win
The model gives Home a 40.0% probability, which is the top 1X2 outcome. Brest also have the edge of playing at Stade Francis-Le Blé, and that home lift matters in a tight game. Toulouse still have a strong chance, but the home side gets the nod on balance.
WonBoth Teams To Score
Both teams to score: Yes
The model gives BTTS Yes a 54.6% probability, so goals at both ends is the likeliest call. Brest at home and Toulouse away both have enough threat to find the net, while the match also looks balanced enough for each side to create chances.
LostOver/Under
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 50.8% probability, which is just ahead of Over 2.5. That points to a close match rather than a shootout. With Brest favored and Toulouse competitive, the game can stay tight and cagey for long spells.
Full Time Result
40%
Home
Fair odd 2.49
28%
Draw
Fair odd 3.63
32%
Away
Fair odd 3.09
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 73%
Under 27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 49%
Under 51%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 27%
Under 73%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 54%
No 46%
First Half Winner
32%
Home
43%
Draw
25%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
22%
6%
3%
Draw
14%
18%
12%
Away
3%
6%
17%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
8.1
8.6
5.3
2.3
1
10.0
12.7
7.7
3.0
2
6.8
8.8
5.5
2.0
3
3.2
3.9
2.5
1.1
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
No head-to-head matches found
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 5:2 | 7 | WDW | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3:0 | 6 | WW | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 3:0 | 4 | WD | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 3:1 | 4 | DW | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 5:4 | 4 | WD | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2:1 | 4 | WD | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6:4 | 3 | LW | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4:2 | 3 | LW | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 | WL | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 2:5 | 3 | WL | |
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 | DD | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 | DD | |
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4:5 | 1 | LD | |
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 1 | LD | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1:2 | 1 | DL | |
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 2:5 | 1 | LDL | |
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0:3 | 1 | LD | |
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3:8 | 0 | LL |
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