The model gives Home a 38.0% probability, just ahead of Away at 35.9% and Draw at 26.2%. Como also has the edge of playing at home, which can matter in a tight Champions League game. The gap is small, so this is a narrow call, but the model leans home.

The model gives Yes a 54.0% probability. That points to a match where both sides should create chances and likely find the net. With Como at home and Manchester United strong enough to score away, BTTS fits the balance of the fixture.

The model gives Over 2.5 a 52.5% probability, so goals have a slight edge over a low-scoring game. The 1X2 market is close, which also supports a more open match state. If one team scores early, the game can stretch quickly.