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At a glance
The statistical model gives Osasuna a 50% probability to beat Getafe, with the draw at 28% and a Getafe win at 22%.
The model estimates a 61% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Osasuna vs Getafe.
The model puts the probability that both Osasuna and Getafe score at 44%.
Osasuna vs Getafe kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 17:30.
Osasuna vs Getafe Preview | La Liga
Welcome to Extratips and our match preview for Osasuna vs Getafe at Estadio El Sadar in Pamplona. Kick-off is set for 2026-08-31 at 17:30, and the model points to a tight game with the home side holding the edge.
Osasuna come in as the slight favorite, with the market giving them the best home price at 2.10. The draw sits at 3.05, while Getafe are listed at 3.50. That tells a clear story: this looks close, but the hosts carry more trust on their own ground.
The strongest angle is the low-scoring trend. The model backs No in BTTS at 54.1%, and Under 2.5 goals at 58.0%. That fits a match with few openings, a lot of duels, and plenty of caution in the final third.
Expect a battle of margins, where one goal could decide it. Osasuna should press harder at home, while Getafe will try to slow the game down and stay compact.
Prediction feel: home lean, few goals, and a match that may stay tense until the end.
Osasuna vs Getafe Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Osasuna a 50% win probability, Getafe 22%, and the draw 28%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 56%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 61%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 60
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Osasuna vs Getafe: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Our picks
Won1x22.10
Osasuna to win
The model gives Home a 48.2% probability, the highest in the 1X2 market. Osasuna have the edge at El Sadar, and the odds also lean their way at 2.10. Against a Getafe side that usually keeps games tight, the home advantage and the model’s top call point to a narrow Osasuna win.
WonBoth Teams To Score1.67
Both teams not to score
The model gives No a 54.1% probability, which is the top outcome for BTTS. The odds at 1.67 also support that view. This fits a match where Osasuna are slightly favoured, Getafe may struggle to create clear chances, and the head-to-head profile suggests a controlled, low-scoring game.
WonOver/Under1.48
Under 2.5 goals
The model gives Under 2.5 a 58.0% probability, making it the clear top pick in this market. The 1.48 odds also show strong market support. With Osasuna favored at home, BTTS leaning No, and both sides often involved in tight La Liga games, a low total looks the most likely path.
Our picks
Accumulator odds
Total Odds
5.19
Potential Winnings
$209.52
Osasuna to win
1x2 / Home
Both teams not to score
Both Teams To Score / No
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under / Under 2.5
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*Odds available at time of writing.
Full Time Result
50%
Home
Fair odd 2.02
28%
Draw
Fair odd 3.58
22%
Away
Fair odd 4.45
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 65%
Under 35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 39%
Under 61%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 19%
Under 81%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 44%
No 56%
First Half Winner
33%
Home
49%
Draw
18%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
28%
5%
1%
Draw
19%
20%
9%
Away
2%
4%
11%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
11.2
8.8
3.6
1.1
1
14.7
12.4
5.5
1.4
2
10.1
9.1
3.8
1.1
3
4.6
4.0
1.9
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
Getafe vs Osasuna
Getafe1
Osasuna0
23 May 26FT!
Getafe1Osasuna0Osasuna vs GetafeOsasuna2Getafe1
03 Oct 25FT!
Osasuna2Getafe1Osasuna vs GetafeOsasuna1Getafe2
16 Mar 25FT!
Osasuna1Getafe2Getafe vs OsasunaGetafe1Osasuna1
05 Oct 24FT!
Getafe1Osasuna1Osasuna vs GetafeOsasuna3Getafe2
21 Jan 24FT!
Osasuna3Getafe2Getafe vs OsasunaGetafe3Osasuna2
17 Sep 23FT!
Getafe3Osasuna2Getafe vs OsasunaGetafe2Osasuna1
28 May 23FT!
Getafe2Osasuna1Osasuna vs GetafeOsasuna0Getafe2
18 Sep 22FT!
Osasuna0Getafe2Osasuna vs GetafeOsasuna1Getafe1
11 May 22FT!
Osasuna1Getafe1| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12:2 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 10:3 | 9 | LWWW | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 9 | WLWW | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7:3 | 7 | WDW | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 5:1 | 7 | WDW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 3:1 | 7 | WWD | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6:5 | 6 | LWW | |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5:3 | 5 | WDD | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 | WDL | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 | WLD | |
| 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 3:6 | 4 | DWLL | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5:4 | 3 | LLW | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3:5 | 3 | WLL | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 1:4 | 3 | LWL | |
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 4:5 | 2 | LDD | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 1:4 | 2 | DLLD | |
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1:4 | 1 | LLD | |
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4:8 | 1 | LDL | |
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 3:9 | 1 | LLD | |
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1:7 | 1 | LDL |
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