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At a glance
The statistical model gives Palmeiras a 62% probability to beat São Paulo, with the draw at 23% and a São Paulo win at 15%.
The model estimates a 54% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in Palmeiras vs São Paulo.
The model puts the probability that both Palmeiras and São Paulo score at 43%.
Palmeiras vs São Paulo kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 21:30.
Palmeiras vs São Paulo Match Preview
Palmeiras vs São Paulo live streaming starts on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 21:30 at Allianz Parque in Serie A, Brazil. Extratips.com provides livescore, H2H information for Palmeiras vs São Paulo as well as in-depth stats about each team like lineups, standings, predictions and professional betting tips.
Palmeiras vs São Paulo Predictions & Analysis
Our prediction model gives Palmeiras a 62% win probability, São Paulo 15%, and the draw 23%.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
BTTS leans toward 'No' at 57%, suggesting a clean sheet is likely on at least one side.
Goals Prediction
Goal expectations lean toward Under 2.5 at 54%, indicating a lower-scoring affair is expected.
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly. How our predictions work
Who do you think will win?
Total votes: 70
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Palmeiras vs São Paulo: frequently asked questions
Predictions are based on statistical models and AI analysis. For informational purposes only - bet responsibly.
Full Time Result
62%
Home
Fair odd 1.61
23%
Draw
Fair odd 4.28
15%
Away
Fair odd 6.84
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 71%
Under 29%
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 46%
Under 54%
Over 3.5 Goals
Over 24%
Under 76%
Both Teams To Score
Yes 43%
No 57%
First Half Winner
45%
Home
41%
Draw
14%
Away
Half Time / Full Time
HT \ FT
Home
Draw
Away
Home
41%
4%
1%
Draw
20%
14%
5%
Away
3%
4%
7%
Correct Score
Home goals (rows) × Away goals (columns)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
8.2
5.7
1.9
0.6
1
14.9
10.8
3.8
1.0
2
12.4
10.3
3.5
0.9
3
7.4
5.0
2.3
0.7
4
5
6
7
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
EU
São Paulo vs Palmeiras
São Paulo0
Palmeiras1
22 Mar 26FT!
São Paulo0Palmeiras1São Paulo vs PalmeirasSão Paulo2Palmeiras3
05 Oct 25FT!
São Paulo2Palmeiras3Palmeiras vs São PauloPalmeiras1São Paulo0
11 May 25FT!
Palmeiras1São Paulo0Palmeiras vs São PauloPalmeiras2São Paulo1
18 Aug 24FT!
Palmeiras2São Paulo1São Paulo vs PalmeirasSão Paulo0Palmeiras0
29 Apr 24FT!
São Paulo0Palmeiras0Palmeiras vs São PauloPalmeiras0São Paulo0
04 Feb 24FT!
Palmeiras0São Paulo0Palmeiras vs São PauloPalmeiras5São Paulo0
25 Oct 23FT!
Palmeiras5São Paulo0Palmeiras vs São PauloPalmeiras1São Paulo2
13 Jul 23FT!
Palmeiras1São Paulo2São Paulo vs PalmeirasSão Paulo1Palmeiras0
05 Jul 23FT!
São Paulo1Palmeiras0São Paulo vs PalmeirasSão Paulo0Palmeiras2
11 Jun 23FT!
São Paulo0Palmeiras2| # | Team | P | W | D | L | DIFF | GLS | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 45:21 | 52 | DWLDW | |
| 2 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +29 | 50:21 | 51 | WWLWW | |
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 37:25 | 45 | DWDWD | |
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +8 | 40:32 | 45 | WDWWD | |
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +8 | 40:32 | 43 | WWWDD | |
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 35:36 | 39 | LWWWW | |
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | -1 | 34:35 | 37 | LWWDW | |
| 8 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 32:30 | 36 | LWDWD | |
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +3 | 31:28 | 35 | LLWDL | |
| 10 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 31:28 | 33 | WWLDL | |
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 26:25 | 32 | LLLWD | |
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 37:40 | 30 | LLLDW | |
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -13 | 24:37 | 29 | LLWLL | |
| 14 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 34:36 | 29 | WDWLD | |
| 15 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -5 | 27:32 | 28 | WLLWD | |
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -11 | 29:40 | 28 | WLDDL | |
| 17 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -13 | 27:40 | 25 | LWLLD | |
| 18 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 26:31 | 25 | LDDDD | |
| 19 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -12 | 30:42 | 23 | LLDDL | |
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 25:49 | 14 | LWDLD |
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